Data Centers: The New Anchor of Commercial Real Estate Investment

Introduction –The Rise of a New Core Asset Class

Every time you stream a video, check your email, or use a cloud application, data is being stored and processed in a physical building somewhere. That building is a data center, and it has become one of the most asset classes in commercial real estate today.

The rapid acceleration of cloud computing, artificial intelligence (AI), and digital transformation has positioned data centers as one of the fastest-growing asset classes in commercial real estate (CRE). Once considered niche infrastructure, data centers are now viewed as mission-critical real assets, attracting institutional investors, private equity firms, and sovereign wealth funds at an unprecedented scale.

The commercial real estate industry has seen plenty of "next big things." Co-working, logistics, life sciences — each had its moment. But nothing in recent memory compares to what is happening in the data center sector. Since ChatGPT launched in late 2022, completed data center projects have grown roughly 220%, while all other real estate development is up less than 10%. Debt financing for the sector has climbed from $92 billion in 2024 to $182 billion in 2025, and private transactions now routinely exceed $10 billion.

According to industry research, global data center capacity is expected to grow at a double-digit CAGR of 14% through 2030, equating to $1.2 trillion in real estate asset value creation.

The Americas is the largest Data center region, representing about 50% of global capacity. Global data center demand continues to surge, fueled by hyperscale’s, colocation providers, and enterprise digitalization.

Global data center market revenue in 2025
$ 0 B
Record-low vacancy in primary US markets, year-end 2025
0 %
Infrastructure investment super cycle needed through 2030.
$ 0 T
Projected global data center capacity by 2030 — up from ~103 GW today.
0 GW

The Future of Data Center Growth and Infrastructure

The Role of Data Centers in Commercial Real Estate

From niche infrastructure to the dominant force in CRE capital allocation — what investors, developers, and advisors need to know

Market Intelligence & Demand Forecasting

Data center markets evolve rapidly, with demand driven by hyperscaler expansion, AI adoption, cloud growth, and power availability.

Investment teams must continuously track supply pipelines, absorption trends, pricing movements, and emerging markets to identify opportunities before competitors do. Fragmented information sources make it difficult to maintain a current and comprehensive market view.

Power & Infrastructure Assessment

Power has become the defining constraint in data center development and valuation.

Investors must evaluate grid capacity, substation access, utility timelines, renewable energy availability, and transmission risks, all of which can materially impact project feasibility and returns. Assessing these factors requires specialized expertise beyond traditional real estate analysis.

Transaction Due Diligence

Data center transactions require extensive due diligence across financial, operational, technical, and commercial dimensions.

Investors must evaluate customer concentration, lease structures, capacity utilization, operating performance, capital expenditure requirements, and growth assumptions under tight deal timelines. Resource constraints often limit the depth and speed of analysis.

ESG & Sustainability Evaluation

Investors face increasing scrutiny around the environmental impact of data centers, particularly energy consumption, carbon emissions, water usage, and renewable energy sourcing.

Regulatory requirements and investor expectations continue to evolve, making ESG assessment a critical part of investment decision-making.

Financial Modeling & Scenario Analysis

The economics of data center assets are influenced by numerous interdependent variables, including power density, occupancy ramp-up, pricing assumptions, tenant mix, expansion potential, and operating costs.

Developing robust valuation models and testing multiple scenarios can be time-consuming and resource-intensive for deal teams.

Competitive Benchmarking

Benchmarking data center assets against peers is challenging due to limited transparency, unique operating models, and varying market conditions.

Investors need reliable intelligence on operator performance, pricing, capacity utilization, development pipelines, and strategic positioning to accurately assess relative value and competitive advantage.

Data center presence in the continental US

"Data centers are emerging in more remote locations, where power is still abundant and grids less strained."

The Future of Data Centers in CRE

The structural case for data centers in real estate portfolios has never been stronger — and the next five years will likely be the most consequential period the sector has seen.

For investors, the sector offers attractive long-term fundamentals characterized by strong demand, resilient occupancy levels, long-duration leases, and opportunities for value creation through development and redevelopment strategies.

Capacity will nearly double by 2030
JLL’s 2026 Global Data Center Outlook projects global capacity growing from 103 GW today to 200 GW by 2030 — a 14% CAGR. The Americas will remain the dominant region, holding roughly 50% of global capacity with a projected 17% supply CAGR. Roughly 100 GW of new capacity is anticipated to come online between 2026 and 2030, representing $1.2 trillion in real estate asset value creation at current pricing.
AI inference will become the primary workload
Training large AI models requires massive compute bursts. Inference — running those models at scale for billions of users and enterprise applications — requires consistent, distributed, lower-latency infrastructure. By 2027, inference workloads are expected to overtake training as the dominant AI requirement. This shift favors distributed data center networks opening new investment opportunities.
Power solutions will define winners and losers
The ability to secure reliable, scalable power on acceptable timelines is the critical differentiator. Developers that have already secured grid interconnection rights, locked up powered land, or established partnerships for on-site generation (nuclear, gas, geothermal, fuel cells) are years ahead of those starting now.
Supply: record construction, but still not enough
The supply response has been extraordinary. Primary market supply increased 36% year-over-year in 2025, surpassing the 34% increase in 2024. More than 35 GW of data center capacity is under construction in North America — an extraordinary volume by historical standards.
Institutional capital will keep flowing
Funds with exposure to digital infrastructure raised over $100 billion in 2025 — double the 2024 total — and accounted for roughly half of all infrastructure fundraising globally. The sector’s maturation is visible in increasingly sophisticated transaction structures: joint ventures, powered-shell deals, sale-leasebacks, and hybrid financing arrangements that blend real estate and infrastructure capital.

How Evalueserve Helps Data Center Investors and Advisors

We help investors accelerate decision-making and improve deal outcomes through specialized research and analytics support. By combining sector expertise with scalable execution, we help clients reduce underwriting and diligence turnaround times by 30-50%, accelerate deal screening by 40%+, and support transaction execution during peak workloads, enabling faster, higher-confidence investment decisions.

Market Intelligence & Sector Research
We provide decision-ready data center intelligence through continuous monitoring of data center fundamentals, helping clients reduce research effort by up to 70%, accelerate market assessments by 30–40%, and stay ahead of emerging investment opportunities and market shifts.
Financial Modeling & Valuation Support
Supports financial modeling and valuation for data center investments, including power-based cash flow models, DCF analysis, and sensitivity assessments across assets. Our streamlined modeling and financial spreading capabilities reduce modeling effort by ½, accelerate deal execution by 20–30%.
Transaction Due Diligence
Supports the full transaction diligence lifecycle, helping clients reduce diligence turnaround times, increasing deal execution capacity by up to 2x during peak periods, and streamline QoE, NWC, and reporting processes through flexible onshore/offshore delivery models while maintaining high analytical rigor.
Competitive & ESG Intelligence
We deliver competitive and ESG intelligence, enabling clients to benchmark assets 2x faster, expand market and peer coverage by 3–5x, and reduce ESG research effort by up to 60% through comprehensive analysis.

A Win-Win Vision

Conclusion – A Partnership of Potential

Data centers have moved from the periphery of commercial real estate to its center of gravity. The numbers are not an anomaly — they reflect a fundamental, long-cycle shift in how the world stores, processes, and moves information. For real estate investors, that shift creates opportunity. It also creates a mandate to develop new capabilities: in market intelligence, in financial modeling, in understanding power infrastructure, and in evaluating technology-driven tenants.

At Evalueserve, we work alongside investment teams to build exactly those capabilities — quickly, accurately, and at the scale the market demands. Whether you are evaluating your first data center deal or expanding an existing portfolio, the analytical foundation matters.

If you’re evaluating data center opportunities, partnering with experienced advisors who understand the market deeply can mean the difference between projects that deliver exceptional returns and those that face costly delays or setbacks.

Written By

Prashant Kansal
Senior Analyst Corporate Investment Banking   Posts
Kartik Chawla
Kartik Chawla
Lead Analyst Corporate Investment Banking   Posts

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